Improved New Product Forecasting

Improved New Product forecasts with launch curves, POS tracking, and execution meeting.


Company

US alternate channels division of multinational Fortune 500 food company


Reduced Forecast Error 14%

Reduced Obsolescence 90%

Situation

  • Company was experiencing significant obsolescence from new products.

Solutions

  • Analyzed history to develop “launch curves” of weekly demand profile of successful launches in different channels.
  • Implemented weekly tracking of new item shipments against launch curves.
  • Tracked point of sale (POS) demand from Neilson for new items in Convenience against forecast assumptions.
  • Led weekly cross functional execution meeting to review shipments against launch curve and POS demand where available.
  • Adjusted forecasts and production plans weekly based on cross functional meeting output, without violating company frozen schedule requirements.

Benefits

  • Reduced forecast error for new products by 14%
  • Slashed obsolescence for new products by 90%